Newsweek: Hillary Is Even Further Behind After Tuesday
We can only hope this is true. From Newsweek
to beat barack obama among pledged delegates, clinton now needs sober bigger margins in the 12 remaining primaries than she needed when i ran the numbers on monday–an average of 23 points, which is more than double what she received in ohio. superdelegates won’t help clinton if she cannot erase obama’s lead among pledged delegates, which on occasion stands at roughly 134. caucus results from texas aren’t model, but clinton will in all probability net about 10 delegates out of march 4. that’s 10 down, 134 to go. good luck.
I’ve asked several prominent uncommitted superdelegates if there’s any chance they would reverse the will of Democratic voters. They all say no. It would shatter young people and destroy the party.
Clinton’s only hope lies in the popular vote–a yardstick on which she now trails Obama by about 600,000 votes. Should she end the primary season in June with a lead in popular votes, she could get a hearing from uncommitted superdelegates for all the other arguments that she would make a stronger nominee (wins the big states, etc.). If she loses both the pledged delegate count and the popular vote, no argument will cause the superdelegates to disenfranchise millions of Democratic voters. It will be over.On another note, a Republican friend of the site who lives in the South (and is often our barometer for all things GOP) has this to say about Hillary’s electability:
“nothing mobilizes republicans to get effectively and support a candidate that they are lukewarm about more than a clinton. the republican honest mail people are salivating at the contemplating. the rnc is clearing out latitude in its bank account to make dwelling for the sake of the money. r’s well-grounded have a natural reaction against her and we grovel. kind of like when you burp and up up a little in your mouth. it is the unchanged.”funny, we feel that cave in too.
Usefull links: Virtual console march 3, The mat, Texas caucus result, Magic 100
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Marstforth's Goddess
// Mar 18, 2008 at 2:23 am
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